Thursday, February 9, 2023

by Harish Gupta, National Editor, Lokmat Group

 

Modi's 60 seats gamble 

 

Prime Minister Modi is known for doing the unthinkable and a big risk taker. He has the habit of surprising all and sundry by his decisions.  If the mandarins in the corridors of power are to be believed, Modi is considering contesting from the South in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls. The gamble, if taken, is aimed at opening the doors of the BJP in a big way. Insiders in the BJP say that the PM asked senior party leaders to give him a road map of how the party could win 60 Lok Sabha seats from five Southern states. Currently, the BJP has a strong base in Karnataka where it won 25 seats out of 28 in 2019 Lok Sabha polls and 4 seats in Telangana out of 17. But it drew a blank in Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and Tamil Nadu. The BJP high command is fixing nuts and bolts in these states and enhancing its Telangana tally. Modi has been posing pointed questions to the BJP leadership about its plans to expand the party's base in the South. In Kerala, it's a long shot but Tamil Nadu is on the radar. One of the suggestions engaging the attention is how beneficial it would be to pitch the PM from Tamil Nadu as well in addition to his current Varanasi Lok Sabha constituency.  

 

Entering the Southern dragon 

 

The BJP’s southern sojourn may take Modi to Ramanathapuram Lok Sabha constituency in TN. The BJP leadership is aware that it has almost reached a saturation point in the Hindi heartland, West and North East and could add another 20 odd-seats in the kitty of 303 seats it  won in 2019. Therefore, it must take unimaginable steps to conquer the South. An IPS officer has been given the command of TN BJP with Hindutva Agenda. The month-long event held in November, 2022 was aimed at rediscovering the bond between Kashi and Tamil Nadu. Hundreds of delegates from Tamil Nadu participated in this month-long event. The PM has been traveling to TN wearing TN attire and even spoke in Tamil for a brief while. The BJP leadership is working hard to bring the two AIADMK factions together. Secondly, Ramanathpuram has Lord Rama’s connection, the Hindutva ideology. Ram Setu is likely to be declared National Heritage which is currently in court. There is only one hitch; should the PM contest from two seats and what signal it may send to UP voters where the BJP wants to win 75 plus Lok Sabha seats. The last word on the issue is yet to be written. The mystery will unfold only when the Election Commission announces an 8-phase Lok Sabha poll schedule in 2024. 

 

 

 

Eyes set on two Vacant RS Seats

Of the 12 nominated MPs of the Rajya Sabha, two seats continue to remain vacant for nearly a year. The government nominated 5 celebrities to the Rajya Sabha last year and the choice of each one of them gives a clue of PM Modi’s astute thinking. If legendary athlete P T Usha was picked up from Kerala, Indian philanthropist Dr Veerendra Heggade was chosen from Karnataka. Music maestro Ilaiyaraaja Iyaraja  from Tamil Nadu and screenwriter and director from Andhra V Vijendra was privileged one. All four from southern states. To top it all, Modi also nominated Ghulam Ali, a ST leader from Jammu & Kashmir. But none of them joined the BJP as had been the trend in the past with nominated MPs like Sonal Mansingh and others. It is learnt that two remaining nominations may be from poll bound states of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh etc. A close look at the list of Padma awardees reveals focus on South India. 

 

Gehlot gets a breather

 

If the BJP high command reported to have given a breather to Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan until the Assembly polls in November-December 2023, the Congress too has finally given up its plan to replace Rajasthan Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot. The BJP has been unable to find an OBC leader capable of facing poll year challenges to replace Chouhan. Rahul Gandhi tried hard to bring a solution to the on-going bitter battle going-on between Ashok Gehlot and Sachin Pilot. On the contrary, a tripartite meeting among the three leaders ended virtually in a fiasco. Sachin Pilot has been left high & dry.

 

Modi opens treasure chest for Odisha 

 

There is nothing without reason in PM Modi's dictionary. When Modi inducted Ashwini Vaishnav in his Cabinet and gave him three plum portfolios, the credit was given to Odisha Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik who facilitated his entry into the Rajya Sabha. But all that is history and relationship took a bitter turn when BJP president J P Nadda gave a clarion call to make "BJD-Mukt" Odisha at a party workers rally. Neither Modi nor Vaishnav have uttered a word against Naveen Patnaik. On the contrary, the former IAS officer who was a district collector in Cuttack and Balasore, was able to allocate more funds for Railway projects than asked for by the state. Modi opened the centre's treasure chest for Odisha which had demanded Rs 8,400 crore. But Modi doled out Rs 10,012 crore in 2023-24. The allocation was Rs 1,600 crore more than the government’s expectation and 57 railway stations would be modernised in the state. Obviously, Vaishnav may be the face of the BJP in Odisha where Lok Sabha and Assembly polls will be held simultaneously.