Monday, December 22, 2014

J&K is voting for peace

by Harish Gupta, National Editor, Lokmat Group

By the time you have come as far as this page of your newspaper this morning, the assembly election results of Jammu & Kashmir should have begun trickling onto your television screen. Therefore I shall not speculate on results, and move to its significance. J&K is India's lone Muslim-majority state, and, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi generally being regarded abroad as poster boy of the "Hindu right", if there is a single state assembly election that the West is closely watching, it is in this contentious state. If its pines, lakes and snow-capped mountains are bewildering, horrific indeed is its record of violence, with over 50,000 people including civilians killed since the onset of insurgency in 1987.

No question of Modi quitting, say PMO

by Harish Gupta, National Editor, Lokmat Group


Harish Gupta
New Delhi, Dec. 21
Prime Minister Narendra Modi has neither threatened to quit or has any intention to put in his papers in protest against the statements made by the RSS functionaries and its affiliate organisations on religious conversions.

Highly placed sources considered close to the Prime Minister told Lokmat that some of the media reports (not Lokmat) were without any basis and figment of imagination.

"Why shall Prime Minister quit ? "These sources wondered and said, " Modi knows how to handle these elements." After all Modi as chief minister of Gujarat had taught a lesson to Praveen Togadia and other functionaries who owed their allegiance to saffron ideology. 

Modi is certainly extremely upset with the statements made by some of the leaders of the BJP including MPs and even ministers. While he has reined in the ministers and BJP president Amit Shah has also cracked the whip on party leaders. So much so that even ministers have been directed not to speak on controversial issues without the permission of the PM and MPs directed to concentrate on development agenda of their constituencies and task assigned. 

However, Modi and Amit Shah have no control over the Vishwa Hindu Parishad, Bharatiya Mazdoor Sangh and other such bodies who have their own agenda. Modi has been sending signal to the RSS leadership that these wings should be restrained and allow him to implement his agenda of development. But if these organisations did not desist, Modi had no reason to quit. 

Some of the hard line Hindutva organisations like the Hindu Maha Sabha who are bent upon stalling the statue of Mahatma Gandhi's killer Nathuram Godse, has been a serious worry as Maha Sabha Bhavan is in the heart of Delhi and can cause problems. Therefore, Delhi Police will be directed to crack the whip the moment these leaders do anything "sinister". 
Modi, on his part, doesn't want confrontation with these frontal organisations and messages have been sent to them through intermediaries to refrain from indulging in such activities at least for the next two years. If they continue with their agenda, Modi is tough enough to rein them irrespective of political consequences. He had sought votes during the Lok Sabha campaign in the name of development and growth and he won't tolerate any deviation. 

The Modi supporters do not see any problem in the statement of RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat who has only advocated that a law be brought to ban conversions. Neither the Muslims and nor the Christians are willing for such a law. 

No doubt, the Bhagwat statement will certainly lead to ruckus in Parliament on Monday and it may not function properly. 

But there is no reason for Modi to even think of quitting.

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Insurance Bill in limbo

by Harish Gupta, National Editor, Lokmat Group

Govt gets tough, Oppn unrelenting
Harish Gupta
New Delhi, Dec. 16
The fate of the much-touted Insurance Bill waiting for passage in the Rajya Sabha has become uncertain during the Winter Session as the Opposition and the treasury benches have failed to find a compromise formula.

The government seems to have realised that the Opposition parties are wanting to delay the passage of the Insurance Bill and using the religious conversion issue as a stick to get the RS stalled. 

The government is aware that it doesn't have a majority in the Rajya Sabha and even the presiding officer belongs to the Congress party. Therefore, there is a no way that it will be able to get the insurance Bill passed or even rejected. Therefore, it is gearing up to make a last ditch effort but without accepting Opposition's demand for the presence of the PM on the issue.

The insurance Bill, which is considered a big ticket reform agenda of the government, awaiting passage before the visit of the US President Barack Obama in January. The Opposition parties are insisting that the Prime Minister Narendra Modi would accept its demand of coming to the Rajya Sabha and even make a statement on the conversions so that Bill is passed.

The government has rejected the proposal saying that the PM cannot be subjected to the "blackmail" of the Opposition which has a majority in the Rajya Sabha. It feels that this was a trap the Opposition is laying and embarrass it one pretext or the other. The government has said it has nothing to do with the statements of some of the MPs or party leaders and the PM had made a statement on the issue last week. Therefore, the Rajya Sabha is being bulldozed passed.

Union finance minister Arun Jaitley who also addressed the BJP Parliamentary Party meeting in the morning, gave a detailed account of the political situation prevailing in the Rajya Sabha. 

He said until the party gets a majority in the Rajya Sabha, the Opposition parties would continue to derails the agenda. However, he hoped that situation will take turn for the better. 

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Oil slick ahead

by Harish Gupta, National Editor, Lokmat Group


There are many who believe that the falling oil price—it was $62.45 last week but around $105 six months ago—is a blip, and that there will soon be business as usual. As expected, conspiracy theories abound, some of which, though, may be true. It all originated, it is said, from two places in the US, Texas and North Dakota, where hydraulic fracturing of shale, known as 'fracking', was so successful that it is producing 7.4 million barrels a day.

Monday, December 15, 2014

Sena wants two; BJP offers one

by Harish Gupta, National Editor, Lokmat Group


Harish Gupta
New Delhi, Dec. 14

The BJP high command is understood to have signalled to Shiv Sena that its demand for an additional Cabinet post and a minister of state in the Modi government is too high and disproportionate to its strength in the Lok Sabha.

The BJP leadership has also conveyed that any tinkering or re-opening the issue of power-sharing formula evolved in May 2014 only for Shiv Sena will lead to distortions within the NDA. 
Additional cabinet
post in Modi Govt.
Though the BJP leadership has also made it clear that it was the prerogative of the Prime Minister Narendra Modi whom to induct into the government considering the necessities of the administration. But the Shiv Sena is entitled to one Cabinet and one minister of state post as per its strength of 18 Lok Sabha MPs. 

The formula envisaged one Cabinet post for every 10 Lok Sabha MPs. Anant Geete is already holding the Cabinet rank with heavy industries portfolio. Even the TDP of N Chandrababu Naidu has been given one Cabinet and one MoS post as per its strength of 16 MPs in Lok Sabha.

Earlier, Shiv Sena Chief Uddhav Thackeray had asked the Maharashtra chief minister Devendra Fadnavis to ensure the induction of two more MPs in the NDA government. The meeting that took place between Uddhav and Fadnavis on December 8 in Mumbai where Fadnavis is reported to have assured Uddhav that he would certainly apprise the party leadership of his desire. 

However, Fadnavis also felt that Uddhav should raise the issue directly also either with the Prime Minister and the party president Amit Shah. He said he had worked very hard to bridge the growing gulf between the two partners. He would like the two partners to implement the agenda of the Modi government of good governance and take Maharashtra to new heights.
Fadnavis wants Uddav 
to talk to modi directly 
Though Prime Minister Modi was ready to induct Anil Desai of Shiv Sena into the government on November 9, but due to extreme tensions, Desai was summoned from the Delhi airport itself and he couldn't be sworn in. 

It was at that very moment that the angry BJP leadership decided to make Shiv Sena leader Suresh Prabhu to quit the party, join BJP and rewarded him with the prized portfolio of railways. Later, Prabhu called on Uddhav to soothe hurt feelings. 

Uddhav wants Anandrao Adsul or Bhavna Gawli into the Modi government along with Anil Desai. While Anandrao retained his Amravati seat in Vidarbha by defeating his NCP rival Navneet Kaur Rana, Bhavna represents the Yavatmal-Washim constituency in Maharashtra. There is a possibility that Uddhav will call on the Prime Minister.

Modi's problem is that there are as many as eight Union Ministers in his government from Maharashtra though some of them may be in the Rajya Sabha from other states – be it Suresh Prabhu (Haryana), Najma Heptulla (Madhya Pradesh) Smriti Irani (Gujarat) or Prakash Javadekar (Madhya Pradesh). Nitin Gadkari, Anant Geete, Piyush Goyal and R D Danve also represent Maharashtra.