Wednesday, February 25, 2026

by Harish Gupta, National Editor, Lokmat Group


Fly on the wall

Harish Gupta 

Why the PMO Is Upset


The Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) is understood to be deeply dissatisfied with the manner in which two sensitive issues — the Aravalli Hills matter and the University Grants Commission (UGC) regulations controversy — were handled by the concerned departments. Sources indicate that a comprehensive performance review of several ministries and departments is currently underway. Insiders suggest this scrutiny is also one of the reasons behind the delay in organisational  and other changes.

The Modi government faced considerable political and legal heat over the Aravalli Hills case. In late 2025, the Supreme Court accepted a new “100-metre elevation” definition for the Aravalli range proposed by a committee led by the Environment Ministry. Critics argued that the new definition would leave more than 90 per cent of the ecologically fragile stretch open to mining. The ministry initially defended its position, but the SC later kept the definition in abeyance. Following the backlash and institutional embarrassment, the Centre directed states to impose a complete ban on fresh mining leases in the Aravallis.

What has raised eyebrows within the establishment is that the PMO has, in the past, intervened when proposals threatened environmentally sensitive regions. Despite that track record, this lapse occurred.

The second flash point was the UGC’s “Promotion of Equity in Higher Education Institutions Regulations, 2026.” Intended to address caste-based discrimination, the notification triggered controversy for appearing to focus primarily on reserved categories (SC, ST, OBC) while allegedly overlooking grievances from the general category. As protests spread nationwide, the ministry continued to defend the regulations, insisting they would not lead to misuse. When the PMO sought clarification, it was reportedly informed that the UGC — an autonomous body — had not consulted it before issuing the notification. The obvious follow-up question — why then was it defended? — reportedly drew no convincing response. The twin episodes have exposed gaps in coordination, political assessment and anticipatory governance — precisely the areas the PMO is now believed to be examining closely.

Delhi’s Empire and Punjab’s Maharaja

Captain Amarinder Singh once carried himself like Punjab’s last Maharaja — proud, commanding, answerable to no one. But politics, like royalty, changes once you enter a new court. His move from Congress to the BJP was supposed to be a graceful retirement plan: a Governor’s chair, a ceremonial farewell, and perhaps a secure political landing spot for his family. Instead, the Maharaja discovered a harsher truth — in the BJP, you do not negotiate your future, you are assigned one.

Today, neither wife nor son holds an elected post. The Captain himself, no longer in active health or active politics, has become more symbol than player. When he recently hinted he could even leave the BJP because no senior leader listens to him, the message was loud: even Maharajas are not consulted in this empire. The Congress, sensing an opening, spoke of welcoming him back.

But hold your breath! Almost instantly came the ED notice under a lighter provision (FEMA) — to Amarinder and his son — over their foreign assets. The timing was not subtle. The family quickly clarified: no, they are not going anywhere. They are loyal soldiers of the BJP. And then, as if on cue, the officer issuing the notice was transferred. Silence returned. The Captain may have thought he joined the BJP for protection. But perhaps he has learned the deeper rule: once you are inside, your future is no longer yours to decide.

Double Landing in Gujarat: Nitin Meets Kejri's Ambition

Call it coincidence — or the quiet drumbeat of an early campaign season. As newly appointed BJP chief Nitin Nabin made his first high-profile visit to Gujarat, shadowed by Chief Minister Bhupendra Patel, another political traveller touched down almost simultaneously: Arvind Kejriwal, accompanied by Punjab Chief Minister Bhagwant Mann.


Nabin stayed three days. Kejriwal stayed two. But the subtext lasted longer. The BJP has ruled Gujarat for nearly three decades. Yet the real churn is not about power — it is about who occupies the opposition space. The AAP, which bagged 12.92% vote share in 2022, now smells blood. Internal projections claim it has surged to nearly 25%, overtaking a listless Congress and positioning itself as the principal challenger ahead of 2027.

Kejriwal’s pitch is blunt: push Congress to third place, turn Gujarat into a direct BJP-versus-AAP duel. Even a strong second-place finish in local body polls would redraw the state’s political map. For Congress, this is existential. For BJP, it is a reminder that the challenger may no longer wear the old colours.

The Reluctant Patriarch Who Knows Everything


Nitish Kumar insists he is no believer in dynasty. He invokes Karpoori Thakur like a moral shield — socialism over surname, principle over progeny. As long as he is active, he says, his son will remain outside politics. And yet, curiously, the marketing department seems to be working overtime. On cue, party leaders float Nishant’s name for organisational roles, Rajya Sabha prospects, even future leadership. The whispers are too coordinated to be accidental, too persistent to be spontaneous. But the Chief Minister maintains studied innocence — as if these are independent outbreaks of enthusiasm.


This is vintage Nitish: publicly austere, privately adaptive. He knows the optics of dynasty in Bihar’s politics are tricky. So the son does not “enter”; he is merely “encouraged.” The father does not “promote”; he merely “observes.”  The message is subtle: succession is not ambition — it is compulsion, even consensus.

And if the choreography looks suspiciously well-rehearsed, perhaps it is because the script was never meant to surprise the director. That's why Union Minister Rajiv Ranjan Singh and Sanjay Jha are publicly batting for Nishant Kumar's entry in the Rajya Sabha or a key role in the party.


Tuesday, February 24, 2026

by Harish Gupta, National Editor, Lokmat Group

Congress may gain in RS biennial polls

4 MPs retiring, party may win 6 seats


Harish Gupta


If the BJP is improving its Rajya Sabha tally from 103 seats to 108-109 in the biennial polls scheduled for March 16, the Congress may also improve its numbers. Currently, the Congress has 25 Mps in the Rajya Sabha and its four members are retiring. If the party plays its cards well, it may gain two extra seats. The four party Mps retiring are Rajni Patil (Maharashtra) , Abhishek Singhvi (Telangana) and KTS Tulsi and Phulo Devi Netam (Chhattisgarh).


According to reports emanating from the AICC, given the current situation, Abhishek Manu Singhvi is sure to be renominated from Telangana. The Congress is also likely to get one seat in Chhattisgarh and the name of former Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel is doing the rounds. The Congress may also get one seat each in Himachal Pradesh and Haryana. It is ruling Himachal and has 37 MLAs in Haryana and 31 votes are needed to win a seat.


The Congress may get a seat in Assam as well where it has 29 votes and needs the support of 32 MLAs to win the seat. If the CPM (1), AIUDF (16) and BPF (1) support, the Congress may gain a seat. However, Assam Chief Minister Hemanta Biswa Sarma has declared that the BJP will win all three seats.


The Congress may hope to get a seat in Odisha if an understanding is reached with Naveen Patnaik of the BJD. The BJD has 51 votes and a candidate needs 30 votes to win a seat. The Congress has 14 MLAs. The parties can put up a common candidate against the ruling BJP.

The Congress high command is hopeful of getting an extra seat in Telangana which the Chief Minister Reventh Reddy has assured. The UPA has 65 MLAs and may get the support of AIMIM (7 MLAs) and several rebel BRS MLAs.

The Congress has also urged the DMK in Tamil Nadu to spare a RS seat since the Chief Minister M K Stalin is not sharing power with it though prospects are bleak.


(separate Box)


Former Union Minister Anand Sharma & Bhanwar Jitendra Singh, film actor Raj Babbar, Pawan Khera, Sachin Rao, Krishna Allavaru, Meenakshi Natrajan, Supriya Shrinate and others eyeing RS seats.