by Harish Gupta, National Editor, Lokmat Group
Fly
on the Wall
BJP
Uneasy, Congress elated with MP Priyanka
Priyanka
Gandhi Vadra may have chosen a safe haven in deep south Wayanad in
Kerala to make her parliamentary debut. But her maiden speech in Lok
Sabha last week in chaste Hindi with pauses where needed, broad smile
and snide remarks reminded of the good old days in parliament. If she
poked fun at times, she also punched where it really hurts. Though
she mostly spoke from the written notes and texts, she was
spontaneous at times giving a clear impression that the Congress may
have got a match to take on the BJP though she was sitting in the 4th
row. The Nehru-Gandhi clan’s latest entrant may force the BJP
strategists to sit up and devise a way to counter her in the days to
come. Priyanka maintained her composure and never got distracted or
lost her cool. In her 32-minute, laced with pointed barbs and
critiques, she not only took on the BJP but today's “Raja (Modi)
who likes to change his attire frequently, but does not like
criticism or goes in disguise to mingle with people to get a feel of
what's happening on the ground”.
Comparisons
between the Gandhi siblings are inevitable with the BJP MPs
conceding Priyanka’s fluency in Hindi and political acumen
surpassed her brother's delivery. Interestingly, both of them spoke
on the same subjects on different days and she stood out. Most
senior leaders in the Congress have good words about her as she is
amenable, good listener and persuasive. She may not be a threat to
her brother's career. But
a clamour for her political promotion within the party is bound to
grow if she continues to perform the way she did during the Winter
session of Parliament.
A
Middle Path for ONOP
It
clearly emerged that the BJP did not get two-third majority in the
Lok Sabha when the Constitutional amendment bill was put to vote at
the introduction stage. No 2/3 majority was needed at that stage. But
the NDA parties had issued a whip and it was the first trial of
strength. Clearly, a lot more ground has to be covered by the Modi
government if it wants to achieve One Nation One Poll (ONOP) goal.
The issue has been referred to the JPC and the government will get
plenty of time to muster a 2/3 majority to ensure the passage of the
bill in the months to come. The government claimed that 32 political
parties supported ONOP before the Ramnath Kovind panel. But it must
be borne in mind that these parties fell in line when the BJP had a
massive mandate of its own 303 Lok Sabha Mps and 363 with allies. But
the political situation changed after the 2024 Lok Sabha poll as the
JP failed to get a clear majority and with allies its
below 300 seats. It may
win a few more assemblies in the months to come. But no regional
party including its allies are comfortable with this situation.
Therefore,
several saner elements have suggested a “middle path”. They have
suggested that the Lok Sabha polls may be held as scheduled in May
2029 and Assembly polls across 36 States and Union Territories across
India be held two and a half years later. The state polls will take
care of the regional aspirations as well as reflect voters' mood
towards the ruling party at the Centre. The regional parties are
reluctant to swim or sink with national parties and in a federal
structure, they too are allowed to have their say, say these voices.
This middle path may find takers across the board if the current
dispensation fails to muster the desired mandate.
A
Third Option
There
is a third formula too. The next Lok Sabha polls are scheduled to be
held in May 2029. The Assembly polls for Andhra
Pradesh, Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh and Odisha will be held
simultaneously with the Lok Sabha elections then as per schedule. The
Assembly polls in Haryana and Maharashtra will be held in October and
November 2029. These two states are governed by the BJP and Assembly
polls in these states can be advanced by a few months and held along
with the Lok Sabha. Madhya Pradesh,Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan are
scheduled to go to polls in November - December 2028 now. These
states are currently ruled by the BJP and these can be postponed by a
few months through other options available under the existing laws
itself. With these, at least half of India will witness simultaneous
polls.
This
will leave Jharkhand & J&K (October 2029), Telangana and
Mizoram (October 2028), Karnataka (May 2028) Tripura, Meghalaya and
Nagaland (February 2028) and Tamil Nadu, Kerala, UP, Manipur, Punjab,
Himachal, West Bengal, Bihar (2026 & 2027) etc out of ONOP. These
states can also be clubbed in a gradual manner as some of them are
ruled by the BJP or its allies.
BJP-INDIA
in the same boat
The
BJP taunted INDIA bloc leaders for their failure to elect their
Leaders of Opposition in Haryana and Maharashtra. It's been almost
two months since Congress lost the polls and ended up with 37 seats
in the House of 90. But the party has failed to elect its Leader in
the State Assembly largely because there is no unanimity. Former
Chief Minister Bhupinder Singh Hooda is unwilling to give up and so
are his opponents. The high command is silent. The situation is
precarious in Maharashtra where the three MVA partners have yet to
come to terms with the results. But the BJP is no different when it
comes to Jharkhand where it came down from a high horse as
horse-trading failed to fetch votes. It has a battery of claimants
for the LoP's post. The leadership is keeping its fingers crossed as
the search is on for a new tribal leader.